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Paid tips profit: +40.38
Paid tips yield: +3.7%
Average stake:8.7
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Tips / month:61.3
Top position:#40
Average odds:2.02
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Despite playing the state with an alternate team, Athletico PR is technically superior to Rio Branco, who qualified only in the final round when they could still be relegated. With a market at +1.25 for Rio Branco it is in favor that in just two matches Athletico managed to score for 2 or more goals difference at home, while only in 1 match Rio Branco lost by 2 or more goals difference. The game must end with a home team win, however, without a score so elastic. +1.25 to @ 2.05 for Rio Branco represents a good value.
The quality difference between the two teams is immense. On the other hand, Goias does not have a retrospective in 2019 of elastic scores playing at home against teams of the state championship. Moreover, after beating the first game by 3 to 0, he should play more peacefully, while the Goianésia will hardly expose itself going to the attack, seeking to avoid another defeat and leaving the competition with honor. For this reason, the market of +1.5 for Goianésia for @ 1.95 has value. Half unit given the risk of the bet.
The Bundesliga 3, Zwickau is still close to the relegation ranks, with just 3 points ahead of the first relegation spot, which is currently held by Großaspach.
The whole season of Zwickau has proceeded like expected. From the beginning, they were a team with the only goal to hold the class. They gathered wins against lower tier teams like Großaspach or Fortuna Köln and against struggling teams like Uerdingen, Münster or Würzburg. Versus the current top 5 of the league, they only won on match day one against Hallescher FC and drew in the first leg against Wiesbaden and twice against Karlsruhe.
Especially at home, they are not to underestimate (6/5/4). In their own arena, Zwickau scored decent 21 goals and only conceded 15 in 15 appearances,
Wiesbaden is the hottest team of the league now. After some problems at the start, they only lost two of their last 11 league appearances. Wiesbaden is the second strongest away team of the league (9/2/4) with the most goals scored away from home by far (36). They won their last four games in a row and always scored at least two goals.
Overall, Wiesbaden is big favorite in this game. Zwickau is decent at home with a good defense, but this will not be enough to stop Wehen’s offensive power. I expect Zwickau to try to stay as compact as possible in their defense, while Wiesbaden will dictate the game. Since Zwickau knows how to defend, especially at home, I would not say Wehen will crush them, but I still expect them to pick up a confident win.
Losing to Marseille mid-February left Amiens too close to the bottom of the table. However, since then they are unbeaten, recording two wins and three draws, including the two goalless draws against Angers and Bordeaux in the last two rounds. With these nine points out of possible fifteen, they moved up to 17th in the table, level on points with Monaco and probably safe from relegation.
On Saturday, they are welcoming St Etienne who is fifth in the table and fighting for the last European spot. Currently they are a game behind, a game which they will make up mid-week, before travelling to Amiens. They have won only three of the last six games. Amiens should play without too much pressure but a point against St Etienne would be golden. However, they would have to score, and they are fourth worst scoring team in the league as well as the fifth worst defensive side. Visitors should win easily.
Chiba is more and more confident and produces better games in these last 2-3 games. They also have a little more defensive stability, especially Tatsuya Masushima who made a great match against Ryuku. I don't know if Chiba is able to take 3 points but a draw is highly possible. Kanazawa is definitely in good shape at home but also very lucky, especially on the number of goals they scored, which is why I think they are slightly overpriced by market.