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Paid tips profit: +40.38
Paid tips yield: +3.7%
Average stake:8.7
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Tips / month:61.3
Top position:#40
Average odds:2.02
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Sundsvall had some high hopes for the season, well, maybe I had high hopes for them but so far they are fallen short, even they already had faced some tough competition like Malmo and last weekend Hacken. At home they beat 3:1 Malmo, then an stupid loss to Kalmar and a 3:1 win against Falkenbergs and after losing 0:1 to Hacken on the road nothing better to face at home Orebro who has been struggling this season, especially on the defensive side they have issues that Sundsvall can take advantage, especially Linus Hallenius. On the road Orebro has 1 draw and 2 losses, they suffered 4 goals against Elfsborg and then had a loss to Falkenbergs and a draw against Eskilstuna, so even in there easy road trips they had big issues and will all there issues on defense I see them struggling big time, there is also a particular part of this team, even they have 8 goals in 7 games most of them were scored in garbage time when the opponents losses focus because they are leading the game easily, they scored 2 late goals against Hammarby when they were down 0:3 and also scored 2 goals against Elfsborg when they were 0:4 down.
Odd got a bit eaten during this days but still I like it, Leverkusen looks solid lately, winning all there games but most importanly playing really well and the Champions League is a reality right now after beating 6:1 Frankfurt last weekend, in a game who was done at halftime and then they just controlled the game and even so it could have been worst for Frankfurt. Schalke on the other side are already save after that 4:2 win in the derby against Dortmund and then 0:0 at home Augsburg was enough to safe there team in the Bundesliga, so they aren't fighting for nothing right and for them they just want to end the year and forget this awful season that they had. Leverkusen playing solid, creating tons of chances and most importanly scoring a lot, last 2 games 10 goal with Havertz, Volland and Alario looking really good in the attack.
I will not risk more here because Chelsea has some important players out, however, a win seems very likely here, at home Chelsea has been dominant in the EL and overall the team is playing better lately after a rough stretch, the pressure doesn't exist anymore on Chelsea side who already have an CL spot for next season what should help them to perform well and more relaxed here but the main reason for going with Chelsea is Frankfurt who has looked awful lately, they just look tired, the speed of there game has disappeared and the defensive line has made huge mistakes lately, they were really lucky with that 1:1 at home and after that they got smoked by Leverkusen by 6:1 and it wasn't more because Leverkusen don't wanted, overall, I see Chelsea going to the final and winning here but because of some absences on Chelsea's side I will only go with the -1 AH here.